近日，意昂2院長、中國經濟研究中心主任張軍教授的兩本書《中國的高增長已到盡頭?》和《中國的工資：經濟學分析》（三卷本🤚🏽，主編）🏯，分別在Palgrave Macmillan和Enrich Professional Publishing出版📐🫳🏽，向全球發行。

《End of Hyper Growth in China?》

《中國的高增長已到盡頭？》

Zhang Jun

Palgrave Macmillan US, 2016

摘 要In this book, Dr. Jun Zhang rebuts the widely-held view that Chinese economic growth is unsustainable due to low consumption and a reliance on exports and enormous fixed-asset investments. Though many believe this “structural imbalance” of the Chinese economy will become a serious problem in the long run, Zhang holds a bullish long-term outlook owing to China's long-term economic development.

For Zhang, China’s structural problems are greatly exaggerated and certain structures, such as regional governing entities, ensure that China will not face the same economic issues that Japan encountered. Through regional competition, regional governments will persevere; Zhang predicts that China will overtake the US as a superpower. Zhang concludes by acknowledging the real dangers facing China’s economy, and offering advice on the reforms needed to ensure continued growth.

在本書中，張軍教授回應了一個被廣泛持有的觀點，該觀點認為🏌🏽‍♂️，由於中國的GDP過度依賴出口和固定資產投資🧑🏿‍✈️，而消費所占比重較小，因此📤，中國的經濟增長難以持續。盡管很多人堅信👩‍🦼‍➡️📆，長期來看，中國經濟存在的結構性失調將會導致很嚴重的問題，但是考慮到中國長期的增長潛能和穩健的宏觀基本面，張軍教授對中國經濟增長的前景依然看好。

張軍教授認為🧑🏻‍🦳，中國的結構性問題可能被嚴重誇大了。一些中國特有的體系結構，比如有韌性的經濟體製和地方政府管理體系，將會使其不會面臨和日本一樣的問題。張軍教授預測中國將會超過美國成為超級大國📋。本書的最後，張軍教授總結了中國經濟真正面臨的問題，並提出了可以保持持續增長的改革意見。

《Wages in China: An Economic Analysis Volume 1,2and3》

《中國的工資👨🏼‍🦳：經濟學分析》（三卷本）

Zhang Jun

Enrich Professional Publishing – 2015

摘 要

A major determinant of the primary distribution of national income, wages will have tremendous impacts on both social equity and economic efficiency in China. Wages in China: An Economic Analysis presents the latest research results on the transformation of China's wages formation mechanism since the adoption of the Reform and Opening Up policy. This 3-volume series looks at the impact from the institutional evolution of the wage system, social networks, and geographical factors on the determination of wages. After reviewing the history of China's wage policies and systematic transformation, the author examines the collective negotiation system as an example of institutional changes to explore the impacts on employees' wages, and does an empirical study on the shrinkage in labor's share of national income by using industrial and provincial data. Based on the discussion of local policy-making decisions under fiscal federalism in China, the author also analyzes the regional wage differences with economic geographical and regional policy variances. The perspective of inter-industrial wage spillover is also followed to explain the wage differences and convergence paradox.

作為國民收入初次分配的主要決定因素🫳🏽，工資將對中國的社會公平和經濟效率產生巨大的影響🧜🏼。《中國的工資🎗：經濟學分析》代表了作者的研究團隊對改革開放以來中國工資形成機製的最新研究成果。這三卷本著作回顧了工資的製度變遷、社會網絡🆗、地理因素對於工資的影響。在回顧中國工資政策和製度變遷的歷史後，筆者以集體談判製度為例，探討了製度變遷對勞動者工資的影響🫏，並通過產業數據和各省數據實證研究了勞動者工資收入占國民收入份額的收縮👩🏿‍🌾。基於中國財政聯邦主義下的地方決策的探討，筆者還分析了經濟地理區間的工資差異和區域政策差異。產業間的工資溢出的觀點也隨之解釋了工資差異和收斂悖論🦠。